This was always going to be a challenging decade. The 2007 post-Lehman liquidity crisis was a bad omen. So too a warming Earth, the huge and growing trade deficits, the deindustrialisation of the West, the rise of the BRICs, peak oil, the culture wars, Hurricane Katrina, Eyjafjallajökull, widespread distrust and conspiracy theories, global warfare, the rise & rise of the military industrial complex, the prevalence of near-slave-labour in Asia, various strains of swine flu, and the fragmentation of political discourse. Fragmentation of political discourse? I bet you don’t believe in at least one of the above (probably peak oil or global warming).
Of course, with the last few weeks’ stocks slide, the last few days’ civil disorder in the United Kingdom, the deepening sovereign debt crisis in Europe, the debt ceiling debacle and so forth, there is a lot pessimism sloshing about in the tank. It’s reaching maniacal levels, where people have so little to lose that they will go out and pillage and plunder in their local communities. I think the internet, and the hyper-connected, hyper-fragile new world we find ourselves in has left us all — myself included — a little crazy. After all, I did just declare that I thought temporarily declaring martial law to stop the rioting might be a good idea. Then again, I had just seen a whole load of London landmarks that I knew and loved get torched by a mob.
So it is no surprise that David Rothkopf over at Foreign Policy has compiled 10 Ways the World Could Get A Lot Scarier . For anyone seeking to study or profit from the ever-evolving global economic situation, I think it is essential reading. But at the same time, there is an entirely different narrative at work: the narrative of the history of human progress. Some people are unabashed optimists. So without further ado, as Birmingham, Manchester and London erupt into civil unrest, as the global economy hangs perilously in the balance, and as the stars twinkle down out of the August sky, I give you 10 Reasons for Optimism:
- We live in a beautiful, magnificient, humungous universe:
- Climate Change might not be so bad.
- The history of the human race is much longer, much more complex, and much more intricate than any of us can imagine.
- Reincarnation is probably real. I mean, if the oxygen, nitrogen, carbon and hydrogen that make up your body is producing your consciousness, why shouldn’t it produce some more consciousness after you die when those atoms and molecules get recycled by nature?
- If the market goes to Dow 3,000 or Dow 0 — as some analysts claim — you can go short.
- Gold is still available at $1750 an ounce, and silver at $40 an ounce. If the sovereign debt crisis grows (it will), that will seem like a real bargain.
- 3D Printing is just around the corner.
- Macbook Air
- Friends, Family & Love.
- And even if you’re absolutely certain that the world is going to hell in a handbasket, it’s going to be fascinating watching events unfurl.
For those who are looking for a bigger slice of optimism, consider getting Mark Stevenson’s ‘An Optimist’s Tour of the Future’




Aug 09, 2011 @ 23:54:48
I have some things to add: Plasma arc waste disposal is real and it’s only going to get better. It’s finally profitable, and governments across the world should be investing in it. http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2006-09-09-fla-county-trash_x.htm
Different countries are moving around the world to do great works. http://news.discovery.com/tech/google-funds-offshore-wind-power.html
We aren’t really running out of things like we thought we were, just in case we can’t get there fast enough, and China and Russia don’t have us by the bollocks like we sometimes feel they do. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_River_Formation and http://www.bit-tech.net/news/hardware/2011/07/04/japan-finds-rare-earth-mineral-deposits/1 and other big deposits in Idaho and Colorado.
The guys of marvelous understandings of ecology and commerce are increasing, not decreasing: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4EUAMe2ixCI
I am at heart at optimist, despite my anger and often cynical persona, I am in love with human ingenuity and the marvels of the world. I hate selfishness, and short-sidedness. What angers me most about the current state of conservative backlash is that they are preventing us from doing *great things*. We need to do great things in order to sustain the spirits of great empires, or else we wither away. Politicians, ever clumsy, thought we should start a war to keep the Romans believing in something. It worked for about 4 years, but ended up starting a culture war instead.
Aug 10, 2011 @ 00:25:11
Thanks, Jonah
Aug 10, 2011 @ 14:14:45
Alright, it’s not that we have no reason to be optimistic about what we can achieve or what is in the pipeline. It’s the system that is faulty and the connections within that system that lead to no new breakthrough innovation. As i stated before it is always about 1 thing in the currenty sosciety: WHATS IN IT FOR ME ?! People hardly invest money out of altruism or donate money to support an idea an epiphany. no they want to discect everything first and use business models. instead of faring on FAITH (I am a-religious but i am a spiritual person)
It is time to clean up this feral-cancer (your words) that is our current system, and starting by cutting off the head (the elite)\
I’d reccomend reading the Panarchy casus (http://hans.wyrdweb.eu/what-has-bahktin-do-ecology-about-ra-pan-and-anarchy) there are several internal links in that article.
Enjoy the read !
Aug 10, 2011 @ 14:16:52
And using a Requiem by gabriel Fauré (Kyrie & Ellison) isn’t very optimistic music really.
Aug 10, 2011 @ 14:33:23
I used the term ‘feral cancer’ to refer to the cancerous, multiplicative nature of the culture of looting, not the individuals actually doing the looting.
I don’t advocate cutting off people’s heads. We have a culture of looting and pillaging starting at the top, as you correctly identify. I think the best way to handle it is with tough but fair action against everyone who attack and loots — starting with the thugs on the street, and continuing with banksters and corrupt officials. The law needs to be applied arbitrarily; there should be no loopholes, no favours-for-favours, no jobs for the boys. Just tough, fair action directed in a democratic and accountable way, and that doesn’t give anyone any excuses.
I read the article on Panarchy and actually it’s very interesting, and highly optimistic:
“The world has not collapsed because natural ecological systems have the resilience to experience wide change and still maintain the integrity of their functions.”
Thanks for posting that.
Aug 10, 2011 @ 17:31:27
Cutting of the heads was not in the sense that we need to bring out the guillotine, i just meant it figuratively by removing the current people from power. Either by excersicing our democratic rights. but most likely just by a revolution ttho they tend to be very violent however our current political elite world wide excersises a very wrong policy “Spare the rod and spoil the child.”
Aug 10, 2011 @ 17:38:45
Are you familiar with Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Antifragility? Reminds me a little of Panarchy:
http://www.economist.com/blogs/multimedia/2010/11/nassim_taleb_antifragility
Aug 10, 2011 @ 18:18:14
Very interesting interview
Thanks for sharing