I have talked at length before about the dangers of a U.S.-China trade war.
Now, former U.S. Ambassador to China and Presidential candidate John Huntsman weighs in.
From Wikileaks:
a. “Sino-U.S. ‘trade war’ is heating up again”
The Shanghai-based Shanghai Media Group (SMG) publication, China Business News: “The United States provoked a trade war again by imposing high anti-dumping duties on Chinese-made gift boxes and packaging ribbon. This once again shows that 2010 is off to a difficult start for Sino-U.S. relations. It also reflects that, because of the mid-term elections, Obama is eager to prove to the American voters that the U.S. Administration’s China policy is tough so as to restore his declining support rate. Yao Jian, the Ministry of Commerce spokesperson, issued a statement on February 1, saying that following the financial crisis American trade protectionism has risen. China has become the biggest victim of the U.S.’s abusive implementation of trade remedy measures.
b. “The United States no longer sits still; it frequently uses evil tricks to force China to buy U.S. bonds”The Shanghai-based Shanghai Media Group (SMG) publication, China Business News: “This time the quick change of the U.S. policy (toward China) has surprised quite a few people. The U.S. has almost used all deterring means, besides military means, against China. China must be clear on discovering what the U.S. goals are behind its tough stances against China. In fact, a fierce competition between the currencies of big countries has just started. A crucial move for the U.S. is to shift its crisis to other countries – by coercing China to buy U.S. treasury bonds with foreign exchange reserves and doing everything possible to prevent China’s foreign reserve from buying gold.
If we [China] use all of our foreign exchange reserves to buy U.S. Treasury bonds, then when someday the U.S. Federal Reserve suddenly announces that the original ten old U.S. dollars are now worth only one new U.S. dollar, and the new U.S. dollar is pegged to the gold – we will be dumbfounded.
Today when the United States is determined to beggar thy neighbor, shifting its crisis to China, the Chinese must be very clear what the key to victory is. It is by no means to use new foreign exchange reserves to buy U.S. Treasury bonds. The issues of Taiwan, Tibet, Xinjiang, trade and so on are all false tricks, while forcing China to buy U.S. bonds is the U.S.’s real intention.”
And considering that using military means to force China to continue to reinvest in treasuries is completely pointless it seems like America’s free lunch will soon be coming to an end. Most interestingly of all:
The nature of such behavior is a rogue lawyer’s behavior of ‘ripping off both sides’: taking advantage of cross-strait divergences, blackmailing the Taiwan people’s wealth by selling arms to Taiwan, and meanwhile coercing China to buy U.S. treasury bonds with foreign exchange reserves and extorting wealth from the mainland’s people.
No doubt, America’s divide-and-conquer tactics have been highly successful, and highly advantageous to America. The real question, of course, is how long will it be ’til both the Chinese and Taiwanese governments tire of sending their productive capital to America (either for treasuries, or weapons) so that Americans can have a free lunch? A dollar devaluation? War on the Korean peninsula? QE3? QE4? QE Gold?
azizonomics 
It’s telling about the state of the Republican Party that this man is practically invisible. Ron Paul’s party is currently rigging elections, gerrymandering in places like Pennsylvania and reverse engineering the Constitution so that state houses can determine the outcome of elections based on their districting coups.
I would love for Huntsman to be the candidate for the GOP. There is less of a chance of that happening than Ron Paul becoming a candidate for the GOP presidential race.
I would be significantly happier with Huntsman, Paul, or Johnson than any of the other candidates. Mitt Romney, Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann are the worst three.
Would such a trade war make gold go to moon? I’m just curious and worried about my gold bought at 1800s yesterday… The ECB and Fed made a meaningless promise for bailout to make gold plunge to something like 1770…
I wouldn’t be worried about gold bought at 1800. The metric to watch is the DJIA:AU ratio. It’s currently around 1:8. It’s going to 1:1. That would put gold at $11,000, if the DJIA remains the same.
China’s endgame is very much based around buying up US/global productive assets and gold — to back the yuan. The inevitable trade war (and mutual funds stumbling over themselves to get their hands on the best performing global asset will push gold way up from here.
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